TARGET CORPORATION ANALYSIS
The purpose of this memo is to
evaluate Target's recent performance and compare Target's five proposed
capital budgeting projects.
The first SuperTarget store opened in
Omaha, Nebraska in 1995. Target differentiated itself from Wal-mart by
focusing on their customer's shopping experience. The company had been
highly successful at promoting its brand awareness with large
advertising campaigns and as additional enhancement to the customer
shopping experience, Target offered credit to qualified customers
through its RED cards.
I. Target's Recent Performance Evaluation
Wal-Mart Revenue= $315.7 billion Wal-Mart Debt Rating= AA Wal-Mart Beta= 0.80
Costco Revenue= $52.9 billion Costco Debt Rating= A Costco Beta= 0.85
Target Revenue= $52.6 billion Target Debt Rating= A+ Target Beat= 1.05
Table 1: Retail Company Financial Information
Table
1 shows that Target's total revenue is the lowest as compared to
Wal-mart and Costco but it performed better in relation to its company's
debt management. Target's debt rating of A+ outperforms Wal-mart's or
Costco's debt rating. This indicates that Target has very efficient debt
management system in its company despite the fact that they need to
acquire more funds to undertake their capital budgeting projects and the
risk of them defaulting on their loan payments is very low. However,
Target seems to be the riskiest company with a beta of 1.05 which is
higher than the other two companies. I believe that Target's beta of
1.05 is not a very big issue as the total beta of the retail industry is
1.96 and Target's beta is still much lower than the overall industry's
beta.
II. Target's Financial Ratios Evaluation
Net profit Margin (2005) = 6.89% (2006) = 4.58%
Return on Assets (ROA) (2005)= 5.84% (2006)= 6.88%
Return on Equity (ROE) (2005)= 24.55% (2006) = 16.95%
Asset Turnover Ratio (2005)= 1.44 (2006) = 1.50
Inventory Turnover Ratio (2005)=5.84 (2006)= 5.98
Return on Assets (ROA) (2005)= 5.84% (2006)= 6.88%
Return on Equity (ROE) (2005)= 24.55% (2006) = 16.95%
Asset Turnover Ratio (2005)= 1.44 (2006) = 1.50
Inventory Turnover Ratio (2005)=5.84 (2006)= 5.98
Table 2: Target's Financial Ratios
Table
2 shows that Target's net profit margin has decreased since 2005. ROE
has also decreased since 2005 but ROA increased since 2005. Target's net
profit margin decreased since 2005 because they decreased their
interest expense in 2006. Target experienced a growth in sales and a
decrease in interest expense from 2005 to 2006 which is a good sign for
the company even though this resulted in a decrease in net profit
margin. This decrease in net income also led to a decrease in ROE. The
decrease in ROE is not a bad sign for Target as the total shareholders'
equity actually increased from 2005 to 2006 which also caused the
decrease in ROE. ROA improved from 2005 to 2006 which shows that
management is really good at managing Target's assets to generate
earnings.
Asset Turnover Ratio and Inventory Turnover Ratio
improved since 2005 which indicates that Target is becoming more
efficient in managing their assets and inventories. Turnover ratios are
very important in the retail industry to ensure that the company is able
to keep their costs low and generate significant profits. The
improvement in inventory turnover for Target shows that Target is able
to lower their warehouse and inventory costs in 2006 by effectively
managing their inventory. This also led to the increase in sales for
Target in 2006.
III. Capital Budgeting Projects Comparison
A. Gopher Place
The
total population in the area in which it is located is one of the
lowest among the others. There is the potential of cannibalism in that
area if Target undertakes this project as there is a high density of
Target stores already in that area. In addition, Wal-mart also plans to
add two new supercenters there. Competition in this area will be pretty
high with such a low population and so many stores. This project may not
be able to generate high number of sales or profit for Target despite
the huge population increase and high median income.
B. Whalen Court
It
has the highest NPV due to its location in the most populated area. It
will also bring the brand awareness that Target always sought for and
provide free advertising to all passerby. However, the initial
investment required for this project is huge and raises concerns on
Target's ability to finance it. The risks associated with this project
is too high as a small decrease in amount of sales will result in a huge
negative NPV and losses to the company. This project may not be able to
generate the high amount of sales or profit for Target as sales are
expected to remain constant with a low population increase.
C. The Barn
It
requires the least investment and produces a very favorable NPV. This
small rural area will enable Target to expand their stores to a new
market. However, it is located in an area with the second lowest total
population. The median income of the population is also pretty low.
Target can achieve huge profits in this area as only a small amount of
sales is required to generate huge returns and Target will not encounter
losses when sales decline. This project will generate huge amount of
profit for Target despite the possibility that the amount of sales may
be one of the lowest compared to the other projects.
D. Goldie's Square
It
has the lowest NPV among all the other projects and does not look
attractive from the NPV standpoint. However, it is located in a densely
populated who have a high median income. A population with a high median
income may result in Target acquiring many loyal customers. There is
also a high population growth which indicates that sales will increase
in the future. This project can generate the high amount of sales and
profit for Target as growth materializes.
E. Stadium Remodel
It
is located in an area with the highest median income and highest
percentage of adults with 4+ years of college. Potential of sales look
promising. However, there is not enough information to support this as
sales has been declining previously. The outlook does not look too
promising for this project. It is not a profitable project to undergo at
this moment.
IV. Conclusion and Recommendation
Based on my
evaluation of Target, I saw an overall improvement on Target's
performance. I believe that Target will be able to earn huge profits and
sales by sticking on to their marketing strategy and thorough analysis
of future projects The Barn and Goldie's Square projects are the two
projects that I would recommend as these are the most profitable
projects among the others.